A struggling global economy and skyrocketing petroleum prices could be taking
a toll on hiring, suggests a new report from management consulting firm McKinsey
& Co.
“The McKinsey Global Survey of Business Executives: Economic and Hiring
Outlook, Third Quarter” notes 42 percent of the 2,687 executives who
participated in the study say that for the short term, they expect to hire new
workers. The figures paint a generally positive hiring outlook, but they are 5
percent lower than when the quarterly survey was administered in June.
HR experts caution that hiring practices could change in January when new
corporate budgets traditionally kick in.
“The hiring budgets for 2008 could look a lot different,” says John Sullivan,
a human resources consultant and professor of management at San Francisco State
University’s College of Business.
McKinsey’s third-quarter survey was taken in September, when some employers
are preparing for the holiday season.
“For retailers and hospitality companies in particular, this is the biggest
hiring time,” Sullivan says. “The talent-acquisition spree that’s taking place
in these sectors could be creating a distorted hiring picture.”
There is usually a lag between an economy’s cooling off and employers
adjusting their hiring projections, explains Jonathan Duarte, president and CEO
of Go Jobs Inc., a job board and recruiting consultancy in Orange,
California.
“There is a natural trickle-down process that needs to take place before we
can tell what is truly going on,” Duarte says.
For now, employers aren’t planning on aggressively expanding headcount
overseas, according to McKinsey. More than half of survey respondents, 55
percent, say new jobs will be created in the same country where their companies
are headquartered.
Sullivan says offshoring has tapered off, not only because sending operations
overseas isn’t as cost-effective as it used to be but also because some
employers have had bad experiences with the quality of the work and services
from outsourcing partners.
The search for talent will vary, depending on the region involved, the survey
notes. Employers in the Asia-Pacific region, where India and China continue to
grow, will most likely continue to expand next year, as 47 percent of
respondents from this area say they will boost hiring. Just 36 percent of survey
participants from Europe plan to add staff.
—Gina Ruiz