Middle-class Americans will be far worse off in retirement than they expect,
warns a new study from BGI.
Despite recent academic studies suggesting the vast majority of Americans
will have adequate retirement income, BGI officials found a broad swath of
American employees face significant cuts in their expected retirement income
once adjustments for health care and the value of home equity are made.
“One-half of all middle-class Americans will have one-quarter less in
retirement than they realize,” Matthew H. Scanlan, BGI managing director and
head of Americas institutional business, said at a news briefing Tuesday, April
29.
The study’s authors assumed that Medicare—with an estimated $68.5 trillion
current account deficit—would become means-tested. For the top half of
households based on wealth, that would result in a $7,000-a-year cost for buying
private health insurance based on current prices.
In addition, only 40 percent to 50 percent of home equity will be available
for non-housing consumption in retirement, they assumed. Other studies include
all home equity in calculating available retirement assets, they said.
Potential government solutions are to raise Social Security taxes and cut
benefits, shift risks to the individual and nationalize health care. All face
political obstacles.
Employer solutions include trying to preserve defined-benefit plans,
improving participation and contribution rates for defined-contribution plans,
and making defined-contribution plans more like defined-benefit plans through
better plan design and use of tailored target-date funds.
Filed by Pensions & Investments, a sister publication of Workforce
Management. To comment, e-mail editors@workforce.com.