The upheaval on Wall Street could result in the loss of 225,000 jobs across
New York state and cost the city and state $6.5 billion in securities
industry-related tax revenue over the next two years, the state comptroller
announced in a report released Monday, November 24.
Despite efforts by Mayor Michael Bloomberg and Gov. David Paterson to cut
costs, the city and state may require a federal bailout to deal with gaping
budget gaps, comptroller Thomas DiNapoli said.
“New York, like other states, may require federal assistance to navigate
these uncharted waters,” the comptroller wrote in the report.
New York City comptroller William Thompson has predicted that the city will
lose 165,000 jobs, so the latest forecast by DiNapoli is the bleakest offered so
far. The Mayor’s Office of Management and Budget has predicted the city will
lose 31,000 securities jobs and 147,000 jobs overall in the private sector.
Already, the city has shed 16,300 Wall Street jobs, the comptroller said.
Those losses will mount and could total 38,000 by next October. An additional
10,000 jobs could be lost in banking, insurance and real estate, bringing total
job loss in the city’s financial activities sector to 48,000.
The new report paints a grim picture of the securities industry.
Broker/dealer operations of New York Stock Exchange member firms reported losses
of $20.7 billion in the first half of 2008 and the comptroller projected a
minimum loss of $25.5 billion for the year. And year-end bonuses could fall a
minimum of 50 percent.
Since salaries on Wall Street are high—the $400,000 average in 2007 was
nearly seven times the salary of non-financial jobs in the city— the economic
impact of losses in the securities industry ripples through the economy.
DiNapoli estimates each job on Wall Street results in two other jobs created in
the city and one in the suburbs. As Wall Street contracts, the job losses will
spread throughout the economy, with private sector job loss reaching 175,000 in
the city and 225,000 statewide.
The high levels of compensation on Wall Street generate a disproportionate
share of state and city tax revenues. Wall Street-related tax revenue could drop
by $4.5 billion, or 38 percent, for the state and $2 billion, or more than 40
percent, for the city by 2010.
“Wall Street is the engine that drives the economies of the New York State
and New York City, but the global credit crunch has slowed that engine down,”
DiNapoli said in a statement. “This year is on pace to be one of the worst years
ever.”
Filed by Daniel Massey of
Crain’s New York
Business, a sister publication of Workforce Management. To
comment, e-mail editors@workforce.com.
Workforce
Management's
online news feed is now
available via Twitter