dvanced scheduling
software tools are making it more possible than ever to match labor supply with
business demand. But questions loom about whether the systems
are leading to schedules so variable that they hurt workers and backfire for businesses.
Software products from a number of vendors can take into account
such factors as sales data, foot traffic and hospital bed openings to let organizations
arrange for the right number of workers, the right blend of skills and the lowest-possible
labor costs. Vendors say their products lead to better business results including
higher productivity, lower payroll costs, increased sales and happier workers. The
tools in many instances give employees a chance to voice preferences or pick shifts.
Still, sophisticated scheduling software raises the specter
of chaotic, constantly changing shifts that wreak havoc on employees’ personal lives
and harm companies in the form of low morale, poor customer service and high turnover.
Today’s scheduling systems help fuel a just-in-time mentality
that’s frequently taken to an extreme, says University of Chicago professor Susan
Lambert, an organizational psychologist who has researched workforce management
practices at 22 work sites.
Lambert says organizations are now monitoring their profitability
in such narrow windows that workers often see their schedule change midweek or are
even sent home midshift. She says such variability can dent sales effectiveness
and force workers to quit—results that companies may not be measuring accurately.
"The kinds of things that this can undermine are hard to quantify
and hard to capture," Lambert says.
'The benefit is there'
Demand-driven scheduling software products, sometimes called
scheduling optimization tools or advanced scheduling applications, are being used
by a fraction of companies, says consultant Lisa Disselkamp, president of advisory
firm Athena Enterprises. She says the tools are challenging to put in place, partly
because of resistance to changing the often-idiosyncratic ways managers schedule
workers. But Disselkamp expects the systems to grow increasingly popular.
"You can actually balance the demand and supply," she says.
"The benefit is there."
A study of retail executives published earlier this year by
research firm Gartner and Retail Info Systems News found that 16 percent of respondents
had up-to-date workforce optimization technology. An additional 10 percent had started
but not finished workforce optimization projects, and 15 percent planned to begin
such efforts this year.
Beyond retail, advanced scheduling applications have made
inroads in call centers and airlines. Another industry tapping scheduling optimization
products is gaming, where radio-frequency identification devices planted in betting
chips allow casinos to track gambling demand closely, says Jason Averbook, head
of HR technology consulting firm Knowledge Infusion. He says software to create
ideal schedules often is highly specific to different business categories.
Lining up worker shifts in concert with business needs is
an evolution of the just-in-time concept that has made organizations like computer
maker Dell focus on efficient supplier networks. "Supply chain has set this precedent,"
Averbook says.
Demand-driven scheduling applications aren’t just part of
an overall business trend, but the product of recent technological improvements.
During the past five years, advances in computer hardware and software have allowed
applications to take many factors into account in generating sophisticated schedules
in a reasonable time period. Today’s tools can consider such inputs as wage-and-hour
rules, worker certifications and employee performance. Software from Alpharetta,
Georgia-based Infor allows managers to assign employees different scores for customer
service, which lets companies schedule peak performers at peak times.
Infor and other vendors also tout the ability to include employee
wishes in the scheduling process, often through a Web-based interface. Lawson software
permits employees to bid for open shifts. Oracle’s scheduling software allows workers
to plug in their preferred days, time of day and skills, such as operating a cash
register. CyberShift lets employees identify second and third skills.
"We believe that a happy employee makes for a happy customer
experience," says Morné Swart, vice president of product management at CyberShift.
"We design our software with employee empowerment in mind while protecting the employer."
On the demand side, the applications weave in such data as
sales information from point-of-sales systems. They also can accommodate information
on customer traffic and shipments. In health care settings, the software can consider
patient counts and sickness levels, allowing managers to better assign float staff
throughout the day to different units. Call center scheduling software may take
into account call volume.
By crunching all the data with formulas such as the ideal
ratio of employees to customers, the applications predict labor demand—down to 15-minute
intervals—and spit out schedules. Vendors say their tools typically are used to
make schedules a week or more in advance. But some promise the ability to adjust
in real time. CyberShift can create a more current schedule on the fly with the
push of a button. Less than a year ago, Infor released an enhancement to its software
that allows for a regeneration of schedules midweek.
A company with 100,000 employees can expect to pay anywhere
from hundreds of thousands of dollars to more than $1 million for Infor’s software,
says Sandra Rousseau, the company’s marketing manager for human capital management.
"It isn’t cheap," Rousseau says. "And no one’s going to sell
it cheap."
But there’s evidence the applications can pay dividends. A
2005 report from investment bank Bernstein estimated that a schedule optimization
tool, along with planning and forecasting software, could boost revenue by 1 to
3 percent at a retailer with $4 billion in annual sales, resulting in a
$2 million to $6 million rise in earnings. Bernstein also projected that schedule
optimization and self-service tools would cut employee turnover by 1 to 2 percent,
adding $1 million to $1.9 million to earnings.
Kronos says its forecasting and scheduling software helped
a retail organization with more than $2 billion in sales and more than 20,000 employees
lift sales 0.67 percent. Kronos declined to name the company, but it says the client’s
sales per labor hour jumped 6.1 percent. Kronos says a smaller retailer, with 8,000
employees, used forecasting, scheduling and time-and-attendance software to achieve
a 0.5 percent cut in store payroll while improving customer service.
John Anderson, director of retail marketing at Kronos, says
retailers are operating in a hyper-competitive market, trying to offer appealing
customer experiences even as they work to hold down costs. Ideally, he says, retailers
would like to assign workers stints of just one or two hours to meet their peak
demand times. But regulations impede such microshifts, he says.
"It’s unlikely to see less than a four-hour shift," Anderson
says.
Even if employees are avoiding microshifts, there are concerns
about the effects of demand-driven schedules on workers. Businesses looking to run
lean are coming up against employees’ desire to have a measure of stability and
income security built into their schedules.
In an essay published last year on the Web site of the Daily
Herald newspaper in Everett, Washington, grocery worker George Keller lamented scheduling
practices in his industry.
"I’ve seen co-workers lose their jobs when a prolonged illness
meant they lost their place on the schedule. Even healthy workers have a hard time
getting enough hours to make a living," Keller wrote. "Because the stores want to
save money by cutting hours, the average work week for grocery workers in Puget
Sound is 26 hours."
Retail giant Wal-Mart is at the center of the debate.
"Wal-Mart claims it schedules employees to coincide with customer
demand, but the company’s application of this practice has a very negative impact
on its hourly workers," says Stacie Lock Temple, senior director for strategy and
communications at advocacy group Wal-Mart Watch. Wal-Mart expects workers to be
available anytime it wants to schedule them, she says, making it difficult for workers
to arrange child care, schedule family activities or attend church services.
Although employees can make their preferences known, blocking
out hours can lead to workers getting less than a full-time schedule, says Lock
Temple, whose group is funded largely by the Service Employees International Union.
Wal-Mart did not respond to requests for comment.
Lock Temple says Wal-Mart workers report that the company
uses a scheduling software tool run out of its Bentonville, Arkansas, headquarters.
Wal-Mart’s scheduling system is homegrown, says Infor’s Rousseau. "They are looking
at ours, but [are] still far out from making a change."
Nationwide, underemployment is higher than it has been in
recent years. The University of Chicago’s Lambert says software that takes employee
preferences into account isn’t fixing this problem. Entering shift preferences doesn’t
amount to flexibility for workers if they have no control over their schedules,
she argues. In fact, Lambert says, software-generated schedules often are ignored
because managers see their sales-to-expense ratio slipping and feel increased pressure
to cut workers’ hours midweek or even midday.
"There are so many changes to them," Lambert says of schedules
created by software tools. "They don’t deliver on the promise of increased stability
and predictability."
CyberShift’s Swart concedes that organizations frequently
rip up their schedules and generate new ones based on how their budget numbers are
looking. "People do that all the time," he says.
Kronos’ Anderson says retail employees are facing greater
variability in their schedules than in the past. He adds that store productivity
becomes more important in a challenging economic environment like the current one.
But workers benefit from the way demand-driven scheduling tools encourage companies
to comply with regulations, Anderson argues.
"You don’t have to look too far for examples of retailers
not following labor laws," he says.
Gretchen Alarcon, vice president of human capital management
strategy at Oracle, says that using advanced scheduling software is an improvement
from schedules done by hand, when workers faced variability that wasn’t grounded
in business needs. "It lets us get away from having random changes to work patterns,"
she says.
One company wary of demand-driven scheduling is Costco Wholesale.
The Issaquah, Washington-based chain of warehouse stores is in the midst of shopping
for a schedule-writing software product, but labor optimization isn’t in the scope
of the project, says Chris Rylance, Costco’s assistant vice president for application
development. Costco is cautious about assigning shifts purely based on store demand.
"We’re dealing with people’s lives when we schedule them,"
Rylance says. "We’ve got to be sensitive to that."
Our Lady of the Lake Regional Medical Center in Baton Rouge,
Louisiana, also aims to be sensitive to employee wishes in scheduling. The 740-bed
hospital uses software from Lawson to let nurses bid on open shifts using the Internet.
"The nurses like the self-service," says Jason Rogers, nursing
manager in the medical, surgical and critical care unit. "They don’t have to be
at work to put their schedule in."
Rogers also creates schedules for nurses four to six weeks
in advance, giving employees plenty of time to arrange their private lives.
Lawson tries to steer its hospital clients away from poor
scheduling practices, says Jennifer Langer, the vendor’s global director for human
capital management product management. Langer says Lawson advises health care organizations
not to let nurses work more than four consecutive days of 12-hour shifts. Research
shows that nurses exceeding four 12-hour shifts in a stretch are three times more
likely to make an error, she says.
"It’s the responsibility of the software to ensure that you
don’t create these schedules that are too difficult for the workers to meet," Langer
says.
There’s also a clear, hard-numbers rationale for humane scheduling
in health care. Given the high demand for
nurses and the high cost of contracting with temporary-firm RNs, an employee-friendly
scheduling system is vital for hospitals, says Amy Every, Lawson product director
for workforce management in health care. She says the second-most cited reason nurses
give for staying in a job, after pay, is the schedule.
Effect on employees, profits
Even if advanced scheduling tools work for workers and employers
in health care, questions remain about the impact of demand-driven scheduling on
employees and profits in other settings. Lambert’s research found that just-in-time
scheduling often corresponded with high levels of turnover, as workers couldn’t
afford or arrange to stay at a job. In one instance, she discovered a 500 percent
turnover rate at a package-handling organization.
Given the rule of thumb that replacing an hourly employee
costs 30 percent of the worker’s annual salary, such levels of attrition are expensive.
In addition, Lambert says, demand-driven scheduling can limit the amount of value
employees can add to their organizations. Her research found that retail managers
sometimes have to ask an employee to clock out, even if in the middle of a sale,
so the store doesn’t go over the number of payroll hours assigned.
Lambert says it’s puzzling that in her research, she saw businesses
making frequent adjustments to their staffing levels even though the demand was
relatively stable. Her point is supported by CyberShift’s Swart, who says retailers
can use historical data to build a sound schedule two weeks ahead of time. "You
can come up with a fairly accurate schedule well in advance," he says.
To Lambert, companies are being penny-wise and pound-foolish
by focusing on extremely short-term windows of performance and failing to reap the
benefits of more stable schedules, such as better morale and lower turnover. She
says businesses would do their workers and themselves a favor by taking a longer-term
view on profitability and giving workers a complete or largely complete schedule
a week or two in advance.
Advanced scheduling applications could be part of the solution,
in her view. "It’s really a matter of the business model," Lambert says. Scheduling
software "could be a great tool."
Workforce Management, October 6, 2008, p. 35-43
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